Stock Analysis

At HK$7.39, Is China Aoyuan Group Limited (HKG:3883) Worth Looking At Closely?

SEHK:3883
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While China Aoyuan Group Limited (HKG:3883) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the SEHK over the last few months, increasing to HK$8.74 at one point, and dropping to the lows of HK$7.18. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether China Aoyuan Group's current trading price of HK$7.39 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at China Aoyuan Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for China Aoyuan Group

What's the opportunity in China Aoyuan Group?

Good news, investors! China Aoyuan Group is still a bargain right now. According to my valuation, the intrinsic value for the stock is HK$10.92, but it is currently trading at HK$7.39 on the share market, meaning that there is still an opportunity to buy now. However, given that China Aoyuan Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will China Aoyuan Group generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:3883 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 22nd 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. China Aoyuan Group's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Since 3883 is currently undervalued, it may be a great time to accumulate more of your holdings in the stock. With an optimistic outlook on the horizon, it seems like this growth has not yet been fully factored into the share price. However, there are also other factors such as capital structure to consider, which could explain the current undervaluation.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 3883 for a while, now might be the time to enter the stock. Its prosperous future outlook isn’t fully reflected in the current share price yet, which means it’s not too late to buy 3883. But before you make any investment decisions, consider other factors such as the track record of its management team, in order to make a well-informed buy.

If you'd like to know more about China Aoyuan Group as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 2 warning signs for China Aoyuan Group and we think they deserve your attention.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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