Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. (HKG:2869) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Greentown Service Group
What Is Greentown Service Group's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Greentown Service Group had CN¥171.9m of debt in June 2021, down from CN¥512.7m, one year before. But it also has CN¥5.54b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥5.37b net cash.
How Healthy Is Greentown Service Group's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Greentown Service Group had liabilities of CN¥5.67b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.20b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥5.54b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.76b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.43b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This short term liquidity is a sign that Greentown Service Group could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Greentown Service Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Greentown Service Group has boosted its EBIT by 49%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Greentown Service Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Greentown Service Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Greentown Service Group recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 93% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Greentown Service Group has net cash of CN¥5.37b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥914m, being 93% of its EBIT. So we don't think Greentown Service Group's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Greentown Service Group that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:2869
Greentown Service Group
Provides residential property management services in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.