The board of Tomson Group Limited (HKG:258) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 22nd of June, with investors receiving HK$0.055 per share. This payment means the dividend yield will be 2.8%, which is below the average for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Tomson Group
Tomson Group's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings
If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. However, based ont he last payment, Tomson Group was earning enough to cover the dividend pretty comfortably. The business is returning a large chunk of its cash to shareholders, which means it is not being used to grow the business.
Looking forward, EPS could fall by 22.9% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 38%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2012, the dividend has gone from HK$0.06 to HK$0.055. Dividend payments have shrunk at a rate of less than 1% per annum over this time frame. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Tomson Group's EPS has fallen by approximately 23% per year during the past five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in.
In Summary
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While Tomson Group is earning enough to cover the dividend, we are generally unimpressed with its future prospects. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Tomson Group (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Tomson Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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About SEHK:258
Tomson Group
An investment holding company, engages in the property development and investment, hospitality and leisure, securities trading, and media and entertainment investment and operation businesses in Hong Kong, Macau, and Mainland China.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.