Tomson Group Valuation

Is 258 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 258 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 258 (HK$2.28) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$1.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 258 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 258?

Key metric: As 258 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 258. This is calculated by dividing 258's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 258's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	38.9x
Earnings	HK$126.97m
Market Cap	HK$4.94b

258 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	6.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	21.2x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 258's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 258 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	11x
173 K. Wah International Holdings	11.8x	43.4%	HK$5.6b
272 Shui On Land	19.5x	n/a	HK$5.5b
3990 Midea Real Estate Holding	8.2x	13.0%	HK$4.5b
81 China Overseas Grand Oceans Group	4.3x	2.2%	HK$6.8b
258 Tomson Group	38.9x	n/a	HK$4.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 258 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.9x) compared to the peer average (11x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 258's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

6 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
29 Dynamic Holdings	0.3x	n/a	US$227.42m
3883 China Aoyuan Group	0.07x	n/a	US$153.39m
2768 Jiayuan International Group	1.4x	31.6%	US$151.18m
2117 Datang Group Holdings	1.2x	n/a	US$87.18m

6 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 258 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.9x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (7.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 258's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

258 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	38.9x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 258's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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