Stock Analysis

How Much Did Wanda Hotel Development's(HKG:169) Shareholders Earn From Share Price Movements Over The Last Three Years?

SEHK:169
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As an investor, mistakes are inevitable. But really bad investments should be rare. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of Wanda Hotel Development Company Limited (HKG:169); the share price is down a whopping 79% in the last three years. That'd be enough to cause even the strongest minds some disquiet. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 21% in a year. It's down 1.6% in the last seven days.

View our latest analysis for Wanda Hotel Development

Wanda Hotel Development isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

In the last three years, Wanda Hotel Development saw its revenue grow by 11% per year, compound. That's a fairly respectable growth rate. So it seems unlikely the 21% share price drop (each year) is entirely about the revenue. More likely, the market was spooked by the cost of that revenue. This is exactly why investors need to diversify - even when a loss making company grows revenue, it can fail to deliver for shareholders.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:169 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 11th 2020

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 9.5% in the last year, Wanda Hotel Development shareholders lost 21%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 11% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Wanda Hotel Development that you should be aware of.

We will like Wanda Hotel Development better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

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