Stock Analysis

Should You Think About Buying Hysan Development Company Limited (HKG:14) Now?

SEHK:14
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Hysan Development Company Limited (HKG:14), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the SEHK. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s examine Hysan Development’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for Hysan Development

What is Hysan Development worth?

According to my valuation model, Hysan Development seems to be fairly priced at around 16% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Hysan Development today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is HK$27.20, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. What's more, Hysan Development’s share price may be more stable over time (relative to the market), as indicated by its low beta.

What does the future of Hysan Development look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:14 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 16th 2022

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Hysan Development's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 68%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? 14’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on 14, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Hysan Development, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

If you are no longer interested in Hysan Development, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.