Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, C C Land Holdings Limited (HKG:1224) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for C C Land Holdings
What Is C C Land Holdings's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that C C Land Holdings had HK$11.6b in debt in June 2020; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$7.68b, its net debt is less, at about HK$3.92b.
How Strong Is C C Land Holdings's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that C C Land Holdings had liabilities of HK$1.32b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$11.4b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$7.68b as well as receivables valued at HK$304.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$4.73b.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of HK$6.72b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Weak interest cover of 0.81 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 16.6 hit our confidence in C C Land Holdings like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, C C Land Holdings's EBIT was down 23% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since C C Land Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, C C Land Holdings recorded free cash flow of 37% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
On the face of it, C C Land Holdings's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't such a worry. We're quite clear that we consider C C Land Holdings to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Take risks, for example - C C Land Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About SEHK:1224
C C Land Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the investment and development of properties in the United Kingdom and Hong Kong.
Very low with worrying balance sheet.