Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Grand Field Group Holdings Limited (HKG:115) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Grand Field Group Holdings
What Is Grand Field Group Holdings's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Grand Field Group Holdings had HK$776.7m in debt in December 2021; about the same as the year before. However, it also had HK$51.6m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$725.2m.
How Healthy Is Grand Field Group Holdings' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Grand Field Group Holdings had liabilities of HK$887.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$866.2m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$51.6m as well as receivables valued at HK$57.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$1.64b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$116.4m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Grand Field Group Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Grand Field Group Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Grand Field Group Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$543m, which is a fall of 52%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Grand Field Group Holdings's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$363m. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Like every long-shot we're sure it has a glossy presentation outlining its blue-sky potential. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost HK$224m in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Grand Field Group Holdings (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:115
Grand Field Group Holdings
An investment holding company, invests in and develops properties in the People’s Republic of China.
Fair value with imperfect balance sheet.