While Seazen Group Limited (HKG:1030) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the SEHK, rising to highs of HK$9.30 and falling to the lows of HK$5.88. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Seazen Group's current trading price of HK$5.92 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Seazen Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
See our latest analysis for Seazen Group
Is Seazen Group still cheap?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Seazen Group’s ratio of 3x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 6.72x, which means if you buy Seazen Group today, you’d be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe that Seazen Group should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Seazen Group’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
What does the future of Seazen Group look like?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 32% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Seazen Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? 1030’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 1030? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 1030, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for 1030, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you want to dive deeper into Seazen Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Be aware that Seazen Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those can't be ignored...
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:1030
Seazen Group
Engages in the investment, development, management, and sale of properties in the People’s Republic of China.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.