Longfor Group Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Longfor Group Holdings's revenue is forecast to decline at 6.1% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 4.7% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 3.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.5% in 3 years.

Key information

4.7%

Earnings growth rate

3.2%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth	21.5%
Revenue growth rate	-6.1%
Future return on equity	6.5%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	12 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SZSC:960 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	134,488	11,674	34,805	19,394	22
12/31/2025	140,571	10,930	36,617	26,987	22
12/31/2024	153,704	10,500	25,842	29,034	21
6/30/2024	165,547	10,658	25,250	26,149	N/A
3/31/2024	173,142	11,754	28,696	29,578	N/A
12/31/2023	180,737	12,850	32,141	33,008	N/A
9/30/2023	199,271	18,895	25,275	25,853	N/A
6/30/2023	217,805	24,940	18,408	18,697	N/A
3/31/2023	234,185	24,651	14,032	14,329	N/A
12/31/2022	250,565	24,362	9,655	9,961	N/A
9/30/2022	254,065	24,138	16,234	16,581	N/A
6/30/2022	257,565	23,914	22,813	23,201	N/A
3/31/2022	240,470	23,884	25,388	25,867	N/A
12/31/2021	223,375	23,854	27,963	28,532	N/A
9/30/2021	208,698	22,468	27,366	28,183	N/A
6/30/2021	194,021	21,083	26,770	27,833	N/A
3/31/2021	189,284	20,542	31,309	32,281	N/A
12/31/2020	184,547	20,002	35,848	36,730	N/A
9/30/2020	174,073	19,184	40,207	40,783	N/A
6/30/2020	163,598	18,365	44,565	44,837	N/A
3/31/2020	157,312	18,351	39,322	39,557	N/A
12/31/2019	151,026	18,337	34,078	34,276	N/A
9/30/2019	139,137	17,727	39,479	40,269	N/A
6/30/2019	127,247	17,117	44,879	46,262	N/A
3/31/2019	121,523	16,677	52,703	54,727	N/A
12/31/2018	115,798	16,237	60,528	63,192	N/A
9/30/2018	98,200	14,930	63,663	65,672	N/A
6/30/2018	80,602	13,623	66,799	68,151	N/A
3/31/2018	76,338	13,111	N/A	69,749	N/A
12/31/2017	72,075	12,599	N/A	71,347	N/A
9/30/2017	63,550	11,213	N/A	64,132	N/A
6/30/2017	55,025	9,827	N/A	56,918	N/A
3/31/2017	54,912	9,490	N/A	44,795	N/A
12/31/2016	54,799	9,153	N/A	32,673	N/A
9/30/2016	51,901	9,018	N/A	23,474	N/A
6/30/2016	49,002	8,883	N/A	14,274	N/A
3/31/2016	48,213	8,935	N/A	14,178	N/A
12/31/2015	47,423	8,988	N/A	14,081	N/A
9/30/2015	49,629	8,585	N/A	16,404	N/A
6/30/2015	51,835	8,182	N/A	18,726	N/A
3/31/2015	51,413	8,268	N/A	18,650	N/A
12/31/2014	50,991	8,354	N/A	18,574	N/A
9/30/2014	46,607	8,276	N/A	14,345	N/A
6/30/2014	42,224	8,199	N/A	10,116	N/A
3/31/2014	41,867	8,118	N/A	11,487	N/A
12/31/2013	41,510	8,037	N/A	12,858	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 960's forecast earnings growth (4.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 960's earnings (4.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (11.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 960's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 960's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-6.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 960's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.1% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 960's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.5%).

Longfor Group Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%

CEO & Executive Chairperson recently sold HK$20m worth of stock

New minor risk - Share price stability

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 38%

CEO & Executive Chairperson recently bought HK$1.5m worth of stock

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.90 (vs CN¥1.32 in 1H 2023)

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Longfor Group Holdings Limited Announces Ordinary Interim (Semi-Annual) Cash Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2024, Payable on 08 April 2025

Longfor Group Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 23, 2024

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.25 per share

Longfor Group Holdings Limited Announces Final Dividend for Year Ended 31 December 2023, Payable on 22 August 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

New minor risk - Insider selling

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥2.07 (vs CN¥4.08 in FY 2022)

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21%

Final dividend of CN¥0.23 announced

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥2.07 (vs CN¥4.08 in FY 2022)

Longfor Group Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 18, 2024

Longfor Group Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 22, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

New minor risk - Share price stability

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%

Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.32 per share at 10.0% yield

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21%

Longfor Group Holdings Limited Announces That Shen Ying Has Been Appointed as A Member of the Environmental, Social and Governance Committee

CEO & Executive Chairperson recently bought HK$3.1m worth of stock

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.32 (vs CN¥1.27 in 1H 2022)

Longfor Group Holdings Limited Announces Ordinary Interim (Semi-Annual) Dividend for the Period Ended June 30, 2023 for the Financial Year Ending 31 December 2023, Payment Date 08 February 2024

Longfor Group Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 18, 2023

New minor risk - Share price stability

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.88 per share at 6.4% yield

Longfor Group Holdings Limited Declares Final Dividend for Year Ended 31 December 2022, Payable on August 21, 2023

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

CEO & Executive Chairperson recently bought HK$3.5m worth of stock

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥4.08 (vs CN¥4.05 in FY 2021)

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

High number of new directors

Longfor Group Holdings Limited Announces Board Changes

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Longfor Group Holdings Limited Announces Board Changes

Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.33 per share

Less than half of directors are independent

Longfor Group Holdings Limited Announces Executive Changes

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

CEO & Executive Director recently bought HK$925k worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Longfor Group Holdings Limited Announces Interim Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2022, Payable on 20 January 2023

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.27 (vs CN¥1.26 in 1H 2021)

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Longfor Group Holdings Limited Approves Final Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2021

Longfor Group Holdings Limited Announces Ordinary Final Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2021, Payable on July 25, 2022

Insufficient new directors

Independent Non-Executive Director recently sold HK$4.8m worth of stock

Insufficient new directors

Longfor Group Holdings Limited Announces CEO Changes

Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.47 per share

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥1.26 (vs CN¥1.08 in 1H 2020)

Less than half of directors are independent

Less than half of directors are independent

Less than half of directors are independent

Less than half of directors are independent

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥1.26 (vs CN¥1.08 in 1H 2020)

Less than half of directors are independent

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Upcoming dividend of CN¥1.03 per share

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥3.41 (vs CN¥3.13 in FY 2019)

Longfor Group Holdings Limited Proposes Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2020, Payable on July 15, 2021