Seazen Group Valuation

Is 1030 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1030 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1030 (HK$1.98) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$0.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1030 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1030?

Key metric: As 1030 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1030. This is calculated by dividing 1030's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1030's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.1x
SalesCN¥110.93b
Market CapCN¥13.07b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1030's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1030 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.2x
9993 Radiance Holdings (Group)
0.4xn/aHK$12.5b
817 China Jinmao Holdings Group
0.2x-1.1%HK$15.3b
2007 Country Garden Holdings
0.03x-17.3%HK$13.4b
754 Hopson Development Holdings
0.4xn/aHK$11.8b
1030 Seazen Group
0.1x-22.7%HK$14.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1030 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1030's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

91 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.6x4.7%
1030 Seazen Group
0.1x-22.7%US$1.80b
1908 C&D International Investment Group
0.2x3.1%US$3.31b
3900 Greentown China Holdings
0.2x-0.4%US$3.14b
1030 0.1xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies90PS00.81.62.43.24+
91 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.6x21.9%
1030 Seazen Group
0.1x183.3%US$1.80b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1030 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1030's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1030 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.1x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1030 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1030 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$1.98
HK$1.75
-11.4%
33.9%HK$2.52HK$0.78n/a9
Dec ’25HK$1.99
HK$1.69
-15.2%
32.5%HK$2.54HK$0.79n/a9
Nov ’25HK$2.38
HK$1.62
-32.1%
33.8%HK$2.57HK$0.80n/a9
Oct ’25HK$2.54
HK$1.44
-43.4%
23.8%HK$1.89HK$0.80n/a9
Sep ’25HK$1.57
HK$1.31
-16.9%
25.2%HK$1.88HK$0.80n/a9
Aug ’25HK$1.36
HK$1.29
-5.0%
25.4%HK$1.88HK$0.79n/a9
Jul ’25HK$1.36
HK$1.29
-5.0%
25.4%HK$1.88HK$0.79n/a9
Jun ’25HK$1.44
HK$1.29
-10.4%
24.9%HK$1.86HK$0.80n/a9
May ’25HK$1.36
HK$1.29
-4.9%
24.9%HK$1.87HK$0.80n/a9
Apr ’25HK$1.05
HK$1.41
+34.6%
33.7%HK$2.50HK$0.79n/a10
Mar ’25HK$1.14
HK$1.49
+30.3%
30.5%HK$2.52HK$0.80n/a10
Feb ’25HK$1.03
HK$1.57
+52.4%
30.8%HK$2.53HK$0.80n/a10
Jan ’25HK$1.27
HK$1.95
+53.2%
27.3%HK$3.23HK$1.38n/a10
Dec ’24HK$1.43
HK$1.93
+35.1%
26.8%HK$3.16HK$1.34HK$1.9910
Nov ’24HK$1.26
HK$1.93
+53.3%
26.8%HK$3.16HK$1.34HK$2.3810
Oct ’24HK$1.43
HK$2.36
+64.8%
40.3%HK$4.17HK$1.34HK$2.5411
Sep ’24HK$1.53
HK$2.67
+74.3%
47.4%HK$5.27HK$1.36HK$1.5711
Aug ’24HK$1.67
HK$3.40
+103.6%
25.9%HK$4.98HK$1.69HK$1.3611
Jul ’24HK$1.53
HK$3.46
+126.3%
24.2%HK$5.05HK$2.03HK$1.3611
Jun ’24HK$1.38
HK$3.48
+152.2%
24.4%HK$5.09HK$2.04HK$1.4411
May ’24HK$1.68
HK$3.80
+126.3%
24.5%HK$5.24HK$2.10HK$1.3610
Apr ’24HK$2.03
HK$5.04
+148.2%
27.0%HK$7.95HK$2.90HK$1.0510
Mar ’24HK$2.77
HK$5.34
+92.7%
22.2%HK$7.94HK$3.63HK$1.149
Feb ’24HK$3.01
HK$5.09
+69.0%
15.9%HK$6.48HK$3.69HK$1.038
Jan ’24HK$2.89
HK$4.77
+64.9%
22.6%HK$6.23HK$2.69HK$1.278
Dec ’23HK$3.44
HK$4.14
+20.3%
28.9%HK$6.13HK$2.57HK$1.438

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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