Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Radiance Holdings (Group) Company Limited (HKG:9993) With Shares Advancing 27%

Radiance Holdings (Group) Company Limited (HKG:9993) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 49% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Radiance Holdings (Group)'s price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Real Estate industry is similar at about 0.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Radiance Holdings (Group)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:9993 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 12th 2024
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What Does Radiance Holdings (Group)'s Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Radiance Holdings (Group)'s receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Radiance Holdings (Group), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Radiance Holdings (Group)'s Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Radiance Holdings (Group)'s is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.0%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 1.8% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 4.7% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Radiance Holdings (Group) is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Radiance Holdings (Group)'s P/S?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Radiance Holdings (Group)'s P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look at Radiance Holdings (Group) revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Radiance Holdings (Group) (2 are a bit concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:9993

Radiance Holdings (Group)

An investment holding company, engages in property development business in Mainland China.

Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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