Stock Analysis

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group's (HKG:81) Dividend Is Being Reduced To CN¥0.15

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited (HKG:81) has announced that on 18th of July, it will be paying a dividend ofCN¥0.15, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. Despite the cut, the dividend yield of 4.6% will still be comparable to other companies in the industry.

View our latest analysis for China Overseas Grand Oceans Group

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Based on the last payment, China Overseas Grand Oceans Group was paying only paying out a fraction of earnings, but the payment was a massive 132% of cash flows. A cash payout ratio this high could put the dividend under pressure and force the company to reduce it in the future if it were to run into tough times.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 38.6%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 22% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
SEHK:81 Historic Dividend May 4th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from CN¥0.0819 total annually to CN¥0.184. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.4% a year over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. We are encouraged to see that China Overseas Grand Oceans Group has grown earnings per share at 14% per year over the past five years. A low payout ratio and decent growth suggests that the company is reinvesting well, and it also has plenty of room to increase the dividend over time.

In Summary

In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for China Overseas Grand Oceans Group (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about. Is China Overseas Grand Oceans Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:81

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group

An investment holding company, invests in, develops, and leases real estate properties in the People’s Republic of China and Hong Kong.

Excellent balance sheet average dividend payer.

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