Stock Analysis

Does Y. T. Realty Group (HKG:75) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:75
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Y. T. Realty Group Limited (HKG:75) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Y. T. Realty Group

What Is Y. T. Realty Group's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Y. T. Realty Group had HK$3.02b of debt, an increase on HK$1.99b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$813.2m, its net debt is less, at about HK$2.21b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:75 Debt to Equity History September 17th 2024

How Strong Is Y. T. Realty Group's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Y. T. Realty Group had liabilities of HK$13.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$2.76b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$813.2m as well as receivables valued at HK$1.61b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$13.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the HK$223.9m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Y. T. Realty Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Y. T. Realty Group's debt is 3.0 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.0 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. The silver lining is that Y. T. Realty Group grew its EBIT by 984% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Y. T. Realty Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Y. T. Realty Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

While Y. T. Realty Group's level of total liabilities has us nervous. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Y. T. Realty Group is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Y. T. Realty Group (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:75

Y. T. Realty Group

An investment holding company, engages in the property investment, development, and trading activities in Hong Kong, the United Kingdom, and Mainland China.

Slight and slightly overvalued.

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