China Tangshang Holdings Limited (HKG:674) Soars 27% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

The China Tangshang Holdings Limited (HKG:674) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 27%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 19% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about China Tangshang Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.6x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Real Estate industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

We've found 21 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free.

View our latest analysis for China Tangshang Holdings

How Has China Tangshang Holdings Performed Recently?

For instance, China Tangshang Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on China Tangshang Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is China Tangshang Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

China Tangshang Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 34%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 129% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 5.3% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that China Tangshang Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Its shares have lifted substantially and now China Tangshang Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We didn't quite envision China Tangshang Holdings' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for China Tangshang Holdings (1 is significant!) that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Tangshang Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.