Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For Midea Real Estate Holding Limited (HKG:3990) Underpins Stock's 31% Plummet

SEHK:3990
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Midea Real Estate Holding Limited (HKG:3990) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 31% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 43% in that time.

After such a large drop in price, Midea Real Estate Holding's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 19x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Midea Real Estate Holding hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Midea Real Estate Holding

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:3990 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 20th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Midea Real Estate Holding will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Midea Real Estate Holding's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Midea Real Estate Holding's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 51% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 82% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 1.3% each year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 16% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Midea Real Estate Holding is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Midea Real Estate Holding's P/E

Midea Real Estate Holding's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Midea Real Estate Holding's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Midea Real Estate Holding is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is concerning.

If you're unsure about the strength of Midea Real Estate Holding's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.