Greentown China Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Greentown China Holdings's revenue is forecast to decline at 0.6% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 4.5% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 4.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.8% in 3 years.
Key information
4.5%
Earnings growth rate
4.5%
EPS growth rate
| Real Estate earnings growth | 20.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | -0.6% |
| Future return on equity | 8.8% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 30 Jan 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Greentown China Holdings Limited's (HKG:3900) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement
Jan 13
We Think Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Dec 16Calculating The Fair Value Of Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900)
Nov 26Greentown China Holdings' (HKG:3900) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture
Oct 02Greentown China Holdings Limited's (HKG:3900) Share Price Boosted 30% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
Sep 26Does Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Aug 30Improved Earnings Required Before Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900) Shares Find Their Feet
Aug 08Calculating The Fair Value Of Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900)
Jul 12If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) Presents An Opportunity
May 24Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900) Soars 33% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward
May 06Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky
Mar 24Are Investors Undervaluing Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900) By 27%?
Feb 26Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900) Following 26% Share Price Slump
Jan 30Here's Why Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Dec 14With EPS Growth And More, Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) Makes An Interesting Case
Oct 30Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900)?
Oct 13Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Aug 27What Is Greentown China Holdings Limited's (HKG:3900) Share Price Doing?
Jun 30Is Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) A Risky Investment?
Apr 19Why Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900) Could Be Worth Watching
Mar 21Here's Why We Think Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) Is Well Worth Watching
Feb 13Are Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?
Dec 23Why Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900) Could Be Worth Watching
Dec 09Here's Why Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
Nov 07We Think Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Oct 02Here's Why We Think Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
Jul 25Is It Time To Consider Buying Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900)?
May 18Is Now The Time To Put Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) On Your Watchlist?
Apr 14Analysts Just Made A Neat Upgrade To Their Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900) Forecasts
Mar 28Greentown China Holdings Limited Beat Revenue Forecasts By 18%: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
Mar 25Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt
Mar 24Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900)?
Feb 10Is Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) A Risky Investment?
Dec 10At HK$11.58, Is It Time To Put Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900) On Your Watch List?
Oct 28These 4 Measures Indicate That Greentown China Holdings (HKG:3900) Is Using Debt Extensively
Sep 11Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 141,304 | 2,941 | 21,850 | 13,081 | 11 |
| 12/31/2025 | 137,451 | 2,846 | 12,728 | 9,000 | 13 |
| 12/31/2024 | 138,627 | 2,723 | 6,593 | 8,242 | 13 |
| 6/30/2024 | 143,969 | 2,617 | 22,013 | 22,206 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 137,676 | 2,855 | 22,314 | 22,590 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 131,383 | 3,092 | 22,614 | 22,974 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 125,391 | 3,264 | 31,158 | 31,528 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 119,399 | 3,437 | 39,703 | 40,082 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 123,276 | 3,011 | 26,951 | 27,338 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 127,153 | 2,584 | 14,199 | 14,593 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 127,995 | 2,869 | 9,078 | 9,558 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 128,836 | 3,153 | 3,957 | 4,523 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 114,538 | 3,204 | 4,657 | 5,192 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 100,240 | 3,255 | 5,357 | 5,861 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 89,131 | 3,024 | 1,027 | 1,550 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 78,021 | 2,793 | -3,302 | -2,762 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 71,902 | 2,633 | -3,462 | -2,933 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 65,783 | 2,474 | -3,621 | -3,104 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 66,307 | 1,827 | -10,608 | -10,050 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 66,831 | 1,180 | -17,595 | -16,996 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 64,212 | 1,187 | -13,167 | -12,586 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 61,593 | 1,193 | -8,739 | -8,176 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 53,510 | 505 | -8,246 | -7,738 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 45,427 | -183 | -7,753 | -7,300 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 52,865 | 104 | -12,925 | -11,928 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 60,303 | 392 | -18,097 | -16,556 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 62,670 | 1,545 | -16,209 | -14,601 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 65,037 | 2,699 | -14,321 | -12,645 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 53,495 | 2,181 | N/A | -13,864 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 41,953 | 1,662 | N/A | -15,083 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 35,848 | 1,876 | N/A | -8,021 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 29,743 | 2,089 | N/A | -958 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 29,359 | 1,801 | N/A | 1,246 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 28,976 | 1,513 | N/A | 3,450 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 26,974 | 1,044 | N/A | -1,306 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 24,973 | 576 | N/A | -6,063 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 25,510 | 554 | N/A | -2,668 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 26,047 | 532 | N/A | 726 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 28,146 | 1,118 | N/A | 3,388 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 30,245 | 1,703 | N/A | 6,050 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 31,147 | 1,714 | N/A | 3,073 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 32,049 | 1,725 | N/A | 96 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 31,693 | 2,534 | N/A | -1,807 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 31,337 | 3,343 | N/A | -3,710 | N/A |
| 3/31/2014 | 30,164 | 4,023 | N/A | -1,218 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 3900's forecast earnings growth (4.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).
Earnings vs Market: 3900's earnings (4.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (11.3% per year).
High Growth Earnings: 3900's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: 3900's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 3900's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.6% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 3900's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.8%).
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/01/31 17:19 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/01/28 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Greentown China Holdings Limited is covered by 41 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Alvin Wong | Barclays |
| Wee Liat Lee | BNP Paribas Securities (Asia) |
| Andy So | BOCI Research Ltd. |