Stock Analysis

Does Million Cities Holdings (HKG:2892) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:2892
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Million Cities Holdings Limited (HKG:2892) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Million Cities Holdings

What Is Million Cities Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Million Cities Holdings had CN¥144.0m of debt in June 2023, down from CN¥160.0m, one year before. However, it does have CN¥474.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥330.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2892 Debt to Equity History November 1st 2023

How Strong Is Million Cities Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Million Cities Holdings had liabilities of CN¥1.28b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥15.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥474.1m and CN¥95.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥723.1m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥245.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Million Cities Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. Given that Million Cities Holdings has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total.

Better yet, Million Cities Holdings grew its EBIT by 175% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Million Cities Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Million Cities Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Million Cities Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 55% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While Million Cities Holdings does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥330.1m. And we liked the look of last year's 175% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't have any problem with Million Cities Holdings's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Million Cities Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Million Cities Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.