Stock Analysis

Ever Sunshine Services Group Limited (HKG:1995) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 35%

SEHK:1995
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Ever Sunshine Services Group Limited (HKG:1995) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 35% gain and recovering from prior weakness. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Ever Sunshine Services Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.7x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 9x and even P/E's above 18x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Recent times have been advantageous for Ever Sunshine Services Group as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Ever Sunshine Services Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1995 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 24th 2024
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Is There Any Growth For Ever Sunshine Services Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Ever Sunshine Services Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 34% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 12% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.9% each year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 12% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Ever Sunshine Services Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Ever Sunshine Services Group's P/E close to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Ever Sunshine Services Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Ever Sunshine Services Group, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ever Sunshine Services Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ever Sunshine Services Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.