Stock Analysis

Guangdong Land Holdings (HKG:124) shareholders are up 11% this past week, but still in the red over the last three years

SEHK:124
Source: Shutterstock

Guangdong Land Holdings Limited (HKG:124) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 20% in the last month. But that is small recompense for the exasperating returns over three years. In that time, the share price dropped 72%. So it's good to see it climbing back up. Perhaps the company has turned over a new leaf.

On a more encouraging note the company has added HK$43m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the three-year loss for shareholders.

Guangdong Land Holdings wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

In the last three years, Guangdong Land Holdings saw its revenue grow by 29% per year, compound. That is faster than most pre-profit companies. So why has the share priced crashed 20% per year, in the same time? The share price makes us wonder if there is an issue with profitability. Ultimately, revenue growth doesn't amount to much if the business can't scale well. Unless the balance sheet is strong, the company might have to raise capital.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:124 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 15th 2025

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Guangdong Land Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

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What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Guangdong Land Holdings' share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Guangdong Land Holdings' TSR of was a loss of 66% for the 3 years. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.

A Different Perspective

Guangdong Land Holdings shareholders are down 32% for the year, but the market itself is up 36%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 10% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Guangdong Land Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Guangdong Land Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.