Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That CK Asset Holdings (HKG:1113) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SEHK:1113
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that CK Asset Holdings Limited (HKG:1113) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for CK Asset Holdings

What Is CK Asset Holdings's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 CK Asset Holdings had debt of HK$54.9b, up from HK$48.5b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$42.5b, its net debt is less, at about HK$12.4b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1113 Debt to Equity History March 23rd 2024

How Strong Is CK Asset Holdings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that CK Asset Holdings had liabilities of HK$51.8b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$57.6b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$42.5b as well as receivables valued at HK$9.88b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$57.1b.

This deficit isn't so bad because CK Asset Holdings is worth a massive HK$116.6b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

CK Asset Holdings has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.65. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 10.8 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. While CK Asset Holdings doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if CK Asset Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, CK Asset Holdings recorded free cash flow of 32% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

CK Asset Holdings's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. On the other hand, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about CK Asset Holdings's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for CK Asset Holdings you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.