Stock Analysis

Vanke Overseas Investment Holding's (HKG:1036) Dividend Will Be Reduced To HK$0.06

SEHK:1036
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Vanke Overseas Investment Holding Company Limited (HKG:1036) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to HK$0.06 on the 2nd of July. This payment takes the dividend yield to 5.0%, which only provides a modest boost to overall returns.

View our latest analysis for Vanke Overseas Investment Holding

Vanke Overseas Investment Holding Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. The last payment made up 84% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. This leaves plenty of cash for reinvestment into the business.

EPS is set to fall by 47.2% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 183%, which is definitely a bit high to be sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1036 Historic Dividend April 26th 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was HK$0.03 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was HK$0.06. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 7.2% per annum over that time. We have seen cuts in the past, so while the growth looks promising we would be a little bit cautious about its track record.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Vanke Overseas Investment Holding's earnings per share has shrunk at 47% a year over the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.

Our Thoughts On Vanke Overseas Investment Holding's Dividend

In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 4 warning signs for Vanke Overseas Investment Holding (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.