Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 9989 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

9989 (HK$4.43) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (HK$132.84)

Is 9989 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9989 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9989 (HK$4.43) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$132.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9989 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9989?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for 9989. This is calculated by dividing 9989's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is 9989's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	CN¥15.05b

9989 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	59.6x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 9989's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 9989 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	1.8x
867 China Medical System Holdings	2.5x	14.7%	HK$18.9b
512 Grand Pharmaceutical Group	1.5x	6.2%	HK$16.2b
570 China Traditional Chinese Medicine Holdings	0.6x	12.3%	HK$12.0b
2096 Simcere Pharmaceutical Group	2.5x	12.1%	HK$17.7b
9989 Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group	3x	6.2%	HK$15.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 9989 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9989's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	11.0%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	11.0%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 9989 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x) compared to the Hong Kong Pharmaceuticals industry average (1.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9989's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9989 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	3x
Fair PS Ratio	2.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 9989 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.