Stock Analysis

We Think 3SBio (HKG:1530) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that 3SBio Inc. (HKG:1530) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for 3SBio

What Is 3SBio's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that 3SBio had CN¥2.60b of debt in June 2021, down from CN¥4.38b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥4.80b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.20b.

SEHK:1530 Debt to Equity History September 10th 2021

How Strong Is 3SBio's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that 3SBio had liabilities of CN¥1.33b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.08b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.80b and CN¥1.22b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.61b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that 3SBio has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, 3SBio boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

3SBio's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if 3SBio can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While 3SBio has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, 3SBio produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 62% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that 3SBio has net cash of CN¥2.20b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So is 3SBio's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for 3SBio that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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