Stock Analysis

We Think Tencent Holdings (HKG:700) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

SEHK:700
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Tencent Holdings Limited (HKG:700) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Tencent Holdings

What Is Tencent Holdings's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Tencent Holdings had CN¥352.7b of debt, an increase on CN¥339.0b, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥419.0b in cash, so it actually has CN¥66.3b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:700 Debt to Equity History July 22nd 2024

A Look At Tencent Holdings' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Tencent Holdings had liabilities of CN¥388.6b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥341.3b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥419.0b as well as receivables valued at CN¥52.4b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥258.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Tencent Holdings has a titanic market capitalization of CN¥3.11t, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Tencent Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Tencent Holdings has boosted its EBIT by 42%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Tencent Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Tencent Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Tencent Holdings generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 95% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Tencent Holdings's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥66.3b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥170b, being 95% of its EBIT. So is Tencent Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Tencent Holdings you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.