Tencent Holdings Valuation

Is 700 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 700 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 700 (HK$400.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$795.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 700 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 700?

Key metric: As 700 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 700. This is calculated by dividing 700's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 700's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.1x
EarningsCN¥169.77b
Market CapCN¥3.42t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 700's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 700 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.6x
1024 Kuaishou Technology
11.9x19.0%HK$191.2b
1357 Meitu
30x31.6%HK$14.6b
9999 NetEase
14.9x8.9%HK$439.5b
META Meta Platforms
25.4x10.9%US$1.4t
700 Tencent Holdings
20.1x11.3%HK$3.7t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 700 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the peer average (20.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 700's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Interactive Media and Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
700 20.1xIndustry Avg. 21.1xNo. of Companies12PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 700 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the Asian Interactive Media and Services industry average (21.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 700's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

700 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.1x
Fair PE Ratio22.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 700 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 700 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$400.60
HK$512.21
+27.9%
12.1%HK$702.43HK$314.30n/a47
Nov ’25HK$419.20
HK$502.43
+19.9%
12.9%HK$702.71HK$317.02n/a47
Oct ’25HK$444.60
HK$479.90
+7.9%
10.9%HK$708.81HK$321.54n/a48
Sep ’25HK$382.00
HK$477.31
+24.9%
11.0%HK$708.74HK$318.91n/a48
Aug ’25HK$365.60
HK$467.84
+28.0%
12.8%HK$709.02HK$304.97n/a48
Jul ’25HK$372.40
HK$460.22
+23.6%
12.8%HK$703.27HK$302.82n/a47
Jun ’25HK$359.80
HK$458.95
+27.6%
12.6%HK$702.91HK$304.33n/a48
May ’25HK$347.20
HK$418.43
+20.5%
14.8%HK$702.52HK$287.61n/a48
Apr ’25HK$303.80
HK$421.46
+38.7%
15.4%HK$701.34HK$288.10n/a48
Mar ’25HK$277.40
HK$432.45
+55.9%
14.4%HK$698.83HK$290.13n/a48
Feb ’25HK$271.60
HK$434.86
+60.1%
14.4%HK$699.56HK$290.43n/a48
Jan ’25HK$293.60
HK$449.85
+53.2%
13.4%HK$706.77HK$293.42n/a49
Dec ’24HK$319.00
HK$451.41
+41.5%
13.1%HK$711.65HK$290.53n/a49
Nov ’24HK$287.00
HK$441.50
+53.8%
13.2%HK$700.41HK$289.99HK$419.2049
Oct ’24HK$306.20
HK$443.96
+45.0%
13.2%HK$702.74HK$287.85HK$444.6049
Sep ’24HK$325.00
HK$446.08
+37.3%
13.2%HK$708.56HK$290.08HK$382.0050
Aug ’24HK$354.00
HK$442.85
+25.1%
13.3%HK$703.36HK$279.39HK$365.6050
Jul ’24HK$331.60
HK$439.31
+32.5%
13.3%HK$687.15HK$278.11HK$372.4050
Jun ’24HK$315.40
HK$445.37
+41.2%
13.4%HK$700.55HK$283.54HK$359.8050
May ’24HK$344.40
HK$446.66
+29.7%
14.3%HK$694.38HK$248.77HK$347.2050
Apr ’24HK$385.80
HK$444.28
+15.2%
14.8%HK$699.01HK$250.01HK$303.8050
Mar ’24HK$368.80
HK$425.67
+15.4%
16.5%HK$689.97HK$245.47HK$277.4049
Feb ’24HK$385.00
HK$425.48
+10.5%
16.7%HK$705.01HK$235.63HK$271.6049
Jan ’24HK$334.00
HK$404.53
+21.1%
19.3%HK$749.57HK$229.72HK$293.6050
Dec ’23HK$294.40
HK$396.09
+34.5%
18.6%HK$708.01HK$224.20HK$319.0052
Nov ’23HK$227.40
HK$391.54
+72.2%
18.9%HK$691.80HK$231.51HK$287.0051

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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