Stock Analysis

Is Media Chinese International (HKG:685) A Risky Investment?

SEHK:685
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Media Chinese International Limited (HKG:685) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Media Chinese International

What Is Media Chinese International's Debt?

As you can see below, Media Chinese International had US$21.0m of debt at June 2023, down from US$23.0m a year prior. But on the other hand it also has US$94.1m in cash, leading to a US$73.1m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:685 Debt to Equity History October 25th 2023

A Look At Media Chinese International's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Media Chinese International had liabilities of US$59.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$6.01m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$94.1m as well as receivables valued at US$21.1m due within 12 months. So it can boast US$49.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus liquidity suggests that Media Chinese International's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Succinctly put, Media Chinese International boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Media Chinese International can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Media Chinese International reported revenue of US$139m, which is a gain of 12%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

So How Risky Is Media Chinese International?

Although Media Chinese International had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of US$2.5m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. There's no doubt the next few years will be crucial to how the business matures. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Media Chinese International (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Media Chinese International is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:685

Media Chinese International

Media Chinese International Limited, an investment holding company, engages in publishing, printing, and distributing of newspapers, magazines, books, and digital contents in Hong Kong, Taiwan, North America, Malaysia, and other Southeast Asian countries.

Adequate balance sheet and fair value.