Stock Analysis

Television Broadcasts Limited's (HKG:511) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

SEHK:511
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.7x in the Media industry in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Television Broadcasts Limited's (HKG:511) P/S ratio of 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Television Broadcasts

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:511 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 8th 2024

How Television Broadcasts Has Been Performing

Television Broadcasts could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Television Broadcasts.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Television Broadcasts' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.2%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 14% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 1.0% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 17%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Television Broadcasts' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Given that Television Broadcasts' revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Having said that, be aware Television Broadcasts is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Television Broadcasts' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Television Broadcasts is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.