Stock Analysis

Is One Media Group (HKG:426) A Risky Investment?

SEHK:426
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, One Media Group Limited (HKG:426) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for One Media Group

How Much Debt Does One Media Group Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2021 One Media Group had debt of HK$115.0m, up from HK$6.51m in one year. On the flip side, it has HK$111.6m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$3.37m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:426 Debt to Equity History September 21st 2021

How Healthy Is One Media Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, One Media Group had liabilities of HK$12.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$115.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had HK$111.6m in cash and HK$8.54m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$6.99m.

Given One Media Group has a market capitalization of HK$72.2m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since One Media Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, One Media Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$46m, which is a fall of 26%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While One Media Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$25m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through HK$21m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that One Media Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is significant...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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