Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On CMGE Technology Group Limited (HKG:302) Is Unlikely

SEHK:302
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.3x in the Entertainment industry in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about CMGE Technology Group Limited's (HKG:302) P/S ratio of 0.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for CMGE Technology Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:302 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 26th 2024

What Does CMGE Technology Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

CMGE Technology Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on CMGE Technology Group.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, CMGE Technology Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 24% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 46% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.8% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 67% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that CMGE Technology Group's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does CMGE Technology Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Given that CMGE Technology Group's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for CMGE Technology Group that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.