Stock Analysis

Asiaray Media Group (HKG:1993) Shareholders Have Enjoyed A 42% Share Price Gain

SEHK:1993
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It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the Asiaray Media Group Limited (HKG:1993) share price down 23% in the last month. But don't let that distract from the very nice return generated over three years. To wit, the share price did better than an index fund, climbing 42% during that period.

Check out our latest analysis for Asiaray Media Group

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the three years of share price growth, Asiaray Media Group actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 105% per year.

Thus, it seems unlikely that the market is focussed on EPS growth at the moment. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

We severely doubt anyone is particularly impressed with the modest 2.1% three-year revenue growth rate. While we don't have an obvious theory to explain the share price rise, a closer look at the data might be enlightening.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1993 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 31st 2021

This free interactive report on Asiaray Media Group's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Asiaray Media Group's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Asiaray Media Group shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 53%, over the last 3 years, is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Asiaray Media Group had a tough year, with a total loss of 41%, against a market gain of about 23%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Asiaray Media Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

Of course Asiaray Media Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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