Stock Analysis

NOVA Group Holdings (HKG:1360) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

SEHK:1360
Source: Shutterstock

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies NOVA Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1360) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for NOVA Group Holdings

What Is NOVA Group Holdings's Debt?

As you can see below, NOVA Group Holdings had HK$66.8m of debt at June 2021, down from HK$312.3m a year prior. But on the other hand it also has HK$71.0m in cash, leading to a HK$4.24m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1360 Debt to Equity History September 29th 2021

How Strong Is NOVA Group Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, NOVA Group Holdings had liabilities of HK$95.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$3.43m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had HK$71.0m in cash and HK$441.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has HK$413.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity is a great indication that NOVA Group Holdings' balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that NOVA Group Holdings has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

Importantly, NOVA Group Holdings's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 76% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is NOVA Group Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. NOVA Group Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, NOVA Group Holdings created free cash flow amounting to 12% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case NOVA Group Holdings has HK$4.24m in net cash and a strong balance sheet. So we are not troubled with NOVA Group Holdings's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with NOVA Group Holdings .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NOVA Group Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.