Stock Analysis

Transmit Entertainment (HKG:1326) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Transmit Entertainment Limited (HKG:1326) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Transmit Entertainment

What Is Transmit Entertainment's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Transmit Entertainment had HK$181.7m of debt, an increase on HK$164.0m, over one year. However, it also had HK$106.6m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$75.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1326 Debt to Equity History October 13th 2023

How Strong Is Transmit Entertainment's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Transmit Entertainment had liabilities of HK$659.9m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$95.5m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$106.6m as well as receivables valued at HK$72.7m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$576.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$111.6m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Transmit Entertainment would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Transmit Entertainment will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Transmit Entertainment made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$166m, which is a fall of 76%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Transmit Entertainment's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$92m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost HK$187m in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Transmit Entertainment .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Transmit Entertainment might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:1326

Transmit Entertainment

An investment holding company, operates as a media and entertainment company in Hong Kong and the People’s Republic of China.

Moderate risk and good value.

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