Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Valuation
Is 1812 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 1812 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 1812 (HK$1.28) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$0.97)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 1812 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1812?
Key metric: As 1812 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 1812's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.3x |
| Sales | CN¥26.71b |
| Market Cap | CN¥6.51b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.5x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 15.7x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does 1812's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 1.2x | ||
2314 Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing | 0.4x | 3.0% | HK$9.9b |
2689 Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) | 0.2x | 9.2% | HK$14.7b |
923 Integrated Waste Solutions Group Holdings | 2x | n/a | HK$86.8m |
336 Huabao International Holdings | 2x | n/a | HK$7.3b |
1812 Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings | 0.3x | 7.6% | HK$6.5b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1812 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does 1812's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Forestry Industry?
| 15 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1812 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the Asian Forestry industry average (0.8x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 1812's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.3x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 0.3x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1812 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.
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