Stock Analysis

Here's Why Tiangong International (HKG:826) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SEHK:826
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Tiangong International Company Limited (HKG:826) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Tiangong International

What Is Tiangong International's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Tiangong International had CN¥2.78b of debt, at June 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.80b in cash, so it actually has CN¥24.2m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:826 Debt to Equity History September 2nd 2022

A Look At Tiangong International's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tiangong International had liabilities of CN¥4.83b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.31b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.80b in cash and CN¥2.50b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥834.4m.

Since publicly traded Tiangong International shares are worth a total of CN¥6.13b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Tiangong International also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

While Tiangong International doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tiangong International's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Tiangong International may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Tiangong International's free cash flow amounted to 35% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Summing Up

While Tiangong International does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥24.2m. So we don't have any problem with Tiangong International's use of debt. Of course, we wouldn't say no to the extra confidence that we'd gain if we knew that Tiangong International insiders have been buying shares: if you're on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tiangong International might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:826

Tiangong International

Manufactures and sells alloy steel, cutting tools, titanium alloys, and related products in the People’s Republic of China, North America, Europe, other Asian countries, and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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