Great World Company Holdings Ltd's (HKG:8003) 32% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio
Great World Company Holdings Ltd (HKG:8003) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 32% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 33% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Great World Company Holdings' P/S ratio of 1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Forestry industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for Great World Company Holdings
How Great World Company Holdings Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Great World Company Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Great World Company Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Great World Company Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Great World Company Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 43% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 78% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Great World Company Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Great World Company Holdings' P/S
Great World Company Holdings' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Great World Company Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Great World Company Holdings (at least 2 which are a bit concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:8003
Great World Company Holdings
An investment holding company, provides advertising and targeted marketing services in the People’s Republic of China.
Moderate and slightly overvalued.