Stock Analysis

Asia Cement (China) Holdings (HKG:743) Could Easily Take On More Debt

SEHK:743
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Asia Cement (China) Holdings Corporation (HKG:743) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Asia Cement (China) Holdings

What Is Asia Cement (China) Holdings's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Asia Cement (China) Holdings had CN¥6.27b of debt in September 2020, down from CN¥7.34b, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥9.53b in cash, leading to a CN¥3.27b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:743 Debt to Equity History February 16th 2021

A Look At Asia Cement (China) Holdings' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Asia Cement (China) Holdings had liabilities of CN¥5.30b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥3.04b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥9.53b in cash and CN¥2.47b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥3.66b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Asia Cement (China) Holdings' balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, Asia Cement (China) Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Asia Cement (China) Holdings if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 21% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Asia Cement (China) Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Asia Cement (China) Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Asia Cement (China) Holdings recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 96% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Summing up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Asia Cement (China) Holdings has net cash of CN¥3.27b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 96% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥4.0b. So is Asia Cement (China) Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Asia Cement (China) Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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