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KangLi International Holdings Limited's (HKG:6890) 26% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio
The KangLi International Holdings Limited (HKG:6890) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 21% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about KangLi International Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Metals and Mining industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for KangLi International Holdings
How Has KangLi International Holdings Performed Recently?
For example, consider that KangLi International Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on KangLi International Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
KangLi International Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 14%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 9.3% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 9.5% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that KangLi International Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From KangLi International Holdings' P/S?
KangLi International Holdings' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that KangLi International Holdings' average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for KangLi International Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if KangLi International Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:6890
KangLi International Holdings
Engages in the manufacture and sale of steel products in the People’s Republic of China and Thailand.
Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.