Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Fufeng Group Limited (HKG:546) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Fufeng Group
What Is Fufeng Group's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 Fufeng Group had debt of CN¥7.73b, up from CN¥3.52b in one year. But it also has CN¥8.02b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥287.9m net cash.
How Strong Is Fufeng Group's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Fufeng Group had liabilities of CN¥8.71b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.70b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥8.02b and CN¥1.64b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥2.75b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Fufeng Group has a market capitalization of CN¥10.2b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Fufeng Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Better yet, Fufeng Group grew its EBIT by 224% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Fufeng Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Fufeng Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Fufeng Group recorded free cash flow of 25% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
Although Fufeng Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥287.9m. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 224% over the last year. So we don't have any problem with Fufeng Group's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Fufeng Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:546
Fufeng Group
An investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of fermentation-based food additive, and biochemical and starch-based products in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.