Stock Analysis

Returns At China Boton Group (HKG:3318) Appear To Be Weighed Down

SEHK:3318
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To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at China Boton Group (HKG:3318) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for China Boton Group:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.076 = CN¥328m ÷ (CN¥6.5b - CN¥2.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Therefore, China Boton Group has an ROCE of 7.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 15%.

See our latest analysis for China Boton Group

roce
SEHK:3318 Return on Capital Employed May 29th 2023

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for China Boton Group's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating China Boton Group's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

SWOT Analysis for China Boton Group

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by earnings.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
Opportunity
  • 3318's financial characteristics indicate limited near-term opportunities for shareholders.
  • Lack of analyst coverage makes it difficult to determine 3318's earnings prospects.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.

How Are Returns Trending?

Things have been pretty stable at China Boton Group, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. So don't be surprised if China Boton Group doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time.

On another note, while the change in ROCE trend might not scream for attention, it's interesting that the current liabilities have actually gone up over the last five years. This is intriguing because if current liabilities hadn't increased to 34% of total assets, this reported ROCE would probably be less than7.6% because total capital employed would be higher.The 7.6% ROCE could be even lower if current liabilities weren't 34% of total assets, because the the formula would show a larger base of total capital employed. With that in mind, just be wary if this ratio increases in the future, because if it gets particularly high, this brings with it some new elements of risk.

In Conclusion...

In summary, China Boton Group isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. Unsurprisingly then, the total return to shareholders over the last five years has been flat. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

Like most companies, China Boton Group does come with some risks, and we've found 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.

While China Boton Group isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.