Stock Analysis

Aluminum Corporation of China (HKG:2600) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

SEHK:2600
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Aluminum Corporation of China Limited (HKG:2600) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Aluminum Corporation of China

How Much Debt Does Aluminum Corporation of China Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Aluminum Corporation of China had CN¥55.7b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥65.6b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥23.0b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥32.7b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2600 Debt to Equity History February 2nd 2025

A Look At Aluminum Corporation of China's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Aluminum Corporation of China had liabilities of CN¥52.6b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥51.6b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥23.0b in cash and CN¥11.5b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥69.9b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Aluminum Corporation of China is worth a massive CN¥120.7b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Aluminum Corporation of China has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.96. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 12.6 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, Aluminum Corporation of China grew its EBIT by 62% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Aluminum Corporation of China's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Aluminum Corporation of China actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

The good news is that Aluminum Corporation of China's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Aluminum Corporation of China's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. Another positive for shareholders is that it pays dividends. So if you like receiving those dividend payments, check Aluminum Corporation of China's dividend history, without delay!

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:2600

Aluminum Corporation of China

Primarily engages in the exploration and mining of bauxite, coal, and other resources in the People's Republic of China and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.

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