Stock Analysis

Jinchuan Group International Resources (HKG:2362) Could Easily Take On More Debt

SEHK:2362
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Jinchuan Group International Resources Co. Ltd (HKG:2362) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Jinchuan Group International Resources

What Is Jinchuan Group International Resources's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2021 Jinchuan Group International Resources had debt of US$432.0m, up from US$373.6m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$253.9m in cash leading to net debt of about US$178.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2362 Debt to Equity History December 15th 2021

How Strong Is Jinchuan Group International Resources' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jinchuan Group International Resources had liabilities of US$300.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$553.3m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$253.9m as well as receivables valued at US$143.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$456.9m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Jinchuan Group International Resources has a market capitalization of US$1.84b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Jinchuan Group International Resources's net debt is only 0.67 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 22.1 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Better yet, Jinchuan Group International Resources grew its EBIT by 2,158% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jinchuan Group International Resources can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Jinchuan Group International Resources actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Jinchuan Group International Resources's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Jinchuan Group International Resources is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Jinchuan Group International Resources, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Jinchuan Group International Resources is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.