Stock Analysis

China XLX Fertiliser (HKG:1866) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

SEHK:1866
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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Speaking of which, we noticed some great changes in China XLX Fertiliser's (HKG:1866) returns on capital, so let's have a look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on China XLX Fertiliser is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.16 = CN¥2.7b ÷ (CN¥28b - CN¥11b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Thus, China XLX Fertiliser has an ROCE of 16%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Chemicals industry average of 15%.

See our latest analysis for China XLX Fertiliser

roce
SEHK:1866 Return on Capital Employed July 15th 2023

In the above chart we have measured China XLX Fertiliser's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering China XLX Fertiliser here for free.

What Can We Tell From China XLX Fertiliser's ROCE Trend?

China XLX Fertiliser is displaying some positive trends. The data shows that returns on capital have increased substantially over the last five years to 16%. The amount of capital employed has increased too, by 134%. This can indicate that there's plenty of opportunities to invest capital internally and at ever higher rates, a combination that's common among multi-baggers.

The Key Takeaway

All in all, it's terrific to see that China XLX Fertiliser is reaping the rewards from prior investments and is growing its capital base. Investors may not be impressed by the favorable underlying trends yet because over the last five years the stock has only returned 36% to shareholders. So with that in mind, we think the stock deserves further research.

If you'd like to know about the risks facing China XLX Fertiliser, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.

While China XLX Fertiliser isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether China XLX Fertiliser is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.