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Aowei Holding Limited's (HKG:1370) Stock Retreats 39% But Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
Aowei Holding Limited (HKG:1370) shares have had a horrible month, losing 39% after a relatively good period beforehand. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Aowei Holding's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Hong Kong, where the median P/E ratio is around 9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
For instance, Aowei Holding's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
See our latest analysis for Aowei Holding
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Aowei Holding's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Aowei Holding's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 36%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 57% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's understandable that Aowei Holding's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see average growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Aowei Holding's P/E
Aowei Holding's plummeting stock price has brought its P/E right back to the rest of the market. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Aowei Holding revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its P/E, given they look similar to current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.
Having said that, be aware Aowei Holding is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1370
Aowei Holding
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, mining, processing, and trading of iron ore products in the People’s Republic of China.
Imperfect balance sheet minimal.