Stock Analysis

What Is China Resources Cement Holdings Limited's (HKG:1313) Share Price Doing?

SEHK:1313
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China Resources Cement Holdings Limited (HKG:1313), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the SEHK over the last few months. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine China Resources Cement Holdings’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for China Resources Cement Holdings

What Is China Resources Cement Holdings Worth?

According to my valuation model, China Resources Cement Holdings seems to be fairly priced at around 0.23% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy China Resources Cement Holdings today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is HK$1.99, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because China Resources Cement Holdings’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What does the future of China Resources Cement Holdings look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1313 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 3rd 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. China Resources Cement Holdings' earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 1313’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on 1313, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with China Resources Cement Holdings, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.