Stock Analysis

Here's Why China Nonferrous Mining (HKG:1258) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SEHK:1258
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, China Nonferrous Mining Corporation Limited (HKG:1258) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for China Nonferrous Mining

What Is China Nonferrous Mining's Net Debt?

As you can see below, China Nonferrous Mining had US$842.8m of debt at June 2022, down from US$1.03b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$838.7m, its net debt is less, at about US$4.06m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1258 Debt to Equity History December 26th 2022

How Strong Is China Nonferrous Mining's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China Nonferrous Mining had liabilities of US$1.02b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.01b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$838.7m and US$669.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$530.0m.

China Nonferrous Mining has a market capitalization of US$1.78b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Carrying virtually no net debt, China Nonferrous Mining has a very light debt load indeed.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With debt at a measly 0.004 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 26.1 times, it's clear that China Nonferrous Mining is not a desperate borrower. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. On the other hand, China Nonferrous Mining saw its EBIT drop by 6.7% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is China Nonferrous Mining's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, China Nonferrous Mining recorded free cash flow of 41% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Both China Nonferrous Mining's ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT and its net debt to EBITDA gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. On the other hand, its EBIT growth rate makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that China Nonferrous Mining is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with China Nonferrous Mining , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.