Stock Analysis

Capital Allocation Trends At China Tianrui Group Cement (HKG:1252) Aren't Ideal

SEHK:1252
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at China Tianrui Group Cement (HKG:1252) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for China Tianrui Group Cement:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.045 = CN¥918m ÷ (CN¥33b - CN¥12b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

So, China Tianrui Group Cement has an ROCE of 4.5%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 3.5% generated by the Basic Materials industry, it's much better.

See our latest analysis for China Tianrui Group Cement

roce
SEHK:1252 Return on Capital Employed February 20th 2024

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of China Tianrui Group Cement, check out these free graphs here.

How Are Returns Trending?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at China Tianrui Group Cement, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 13%, but since then they've fallen to 4.5%. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.

Our Take On China Tianrui Group Cement's ROCE

In summary, we're somewhat concerned by China Tianrui Group Cement's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 16% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for China Tianrui Group Cement (of which 2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should know about.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether China Tianrui Group Cement is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.