AIA Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

AIA Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13.9% and 4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 15.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.2% in 3 years.

Key information

13.9%

Earnings growth rate

15.4%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth	-1.5%
Revenue growth rate	4.0%
Future return on equity	14.2%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SHSC:1299 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	22,346	7,525	N/A	17,152	7
12/31/2025	20,477	6,785	N/A	17,579	9
12/31/2024	18,875	6,144	N/A	14,942	9
6/30/2024	20,992	4,828	9,133	9,455	N/A
3/31/2024	20,375	4,296	9,863	10,187	N/A
12/31/2023	19,757	3,764	10,593	10,919	N/A
9/30/2023	19,454	3,901	9,501	9,717	N/A
6/30/2023	19,151	4,038	8,409	8,514	N/A
3/31/2023	18,458	3,685	8,945	9,191	N/A
12/31/2022	17,764	3,331	9,481	9,867	N/A
9/30/2022	24,079	4,528	7,259	7,910	N/A
6/30/2022	30,393	5,725	5,037	5,953	N/A
3/31/2022	38,375	6,576	4,153	4,931	N/A
12/31/2021	46,357	7,427	3,269	3,909	N/A
9/30/2021	50,633	7,127	2,581	3,047	N/A
6/30/2021	54,909	6,827	1,892	2,185	N/A
3/31/2021	52,880	6,303	1,998	2,271	N/A
12/31/2020	50,851	5,779	2,103	2,357	N/A
9/30/2020	46,970	5,298	3,647	3,863	N/A
6/30/2020	43,089	4,817	5,191	5,368	N/A
3/31/2020	45,517	5,398	4,180	4,353	N/A
12/31/2019	47,945	5,979	3,168	3,337	N/A
6/30/2019	38,528	4,051	2,185	2,294	N/A
12/31/2018	33,025	2,920	1,780	1,865	N/A
11/30/2017	38,761	6,120	N/A	1,451	N/A
8/31/2017	36,151	5,572	N/A	1,231	N/A
5/31/2017	33,540	5,024	N/A	1,011	N/A
2/28/2017	30,669	4,594	N/A	1,188	N/A
11/30/2016	27,797	4,164	N/A	1,364	N/A
8/31/2016	24,643	3,395	N/A	1,501	N/A
5/31/2016	21,489	2,626	N/A	1,638	N/A
2/29/2016	21,988	2,696	N/A	1,438	N/A
11/30/2015	22,486	2,765	N/A	1,237	N/A
8/31/2015	24,941	3,437	N/A	956	N/A
5/31/2015	27,395	4,108	N/A	675	N/A
2/28/2015	26,282	3,779	N/A	710	N/A
11/30/2014	25,169	3,450	N/A	744	N/A
8/31/2014	23,213	2,943	N/A	929	N/A
5/31/2014	21,257	2,435	N/A	1,114	N/A
2/28/2014	21,444	2,630	N/A	1,090	N/A
11/30/2013	21,631	2,824	N/A	1,066	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 1299's forecast earnings growth (13.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 1299's earnings (13.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 1299's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 1299's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 1299's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 1299's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.2%).

AIA Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

AIA Group Limited to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 31, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

First half dividend of HK$0.45 announced

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.29 (vs US$0.19 in 1H 2023)

AIA Group Limited Announces Interim Dividend for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2024, Payable on 25 September 2024

AIA Group Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 22, 2024

AIA Group Limited Announces Committee Changes, Effective 8 July 2024

AIA Group Limited Declares Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2023

Upcoming dividend of HK$1.19 per share

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

AIA Group Limited to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 29, 2024

AIA Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 24, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.003 (vs US$0.024 in FY 2022)

AIA Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 14, 2024

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Now 20% undervalued

AIA Group Limited to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 03, 2023

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought HK$3.9m worth of stock

AIA Group Limited Announces Appointment of Nor Shamsiah Binti Mohd Yunus as Independent Non-Executive Director and Member of Nomination Committee Effective September 21, 2023

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.42 per share at 2.2% yield

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.19 (vs US$0.13 in 1H 2022)

AIA Group Limited Announces an Interim Dividend for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2023, Payable on 26 September 2023

AIA Group Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 24, 2023

Insufficient new directors

AAIA a Group Limited Announces Board Changes

AIA Group Limited Declares Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2022

Upcoming dividend of HK$1.13 per share at 1.9% yield

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.02 (vs US$0.62 in FY 2021)

AIA Hong Kong Announces the Launch of AIA Wealth Elite 2 - Sapphire

AIA Group Limited (SEHK:1299) agreed to acquire MediCard Philippines, Inc.

AIA Group Limited (SEHK:1299) agreed to acquire MediCard Philippines, Inc.

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.40 per share

AIA Group Limited Declares Interim Dividend for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2022

First half 2022 earnings released: US$0.05 loss per share (vs US$0.27 profit in 1H 2021)

AIA Group Limited Declares Interim Dividend

AIA Group Limited Appoints Sun Jie as Member of the Audit Committee and the Remuneration Committee, Effective 1 June 2022

AIA Group Limited Declares Final Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2022

Upcoming dividend of HK$1.08 per share

AIA Group Limited Proposes to Declare Final Dividend of 108 Hong Kong Cents Per Share for the Year Ended December 31, 2022

AIA Group Limited to Report Q1, 2022 Results on Apr 29, 2022

AIA Group Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 25, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectations

AIA Group Limited (SEHK:1299) entered into the Share Sale Agreement to acquire Blue Cross (Asia-Pacific) Insurance Limited from The Bank of East Asia, Limited (SEHK:23) for HKD 2106 million.

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

AIA Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2021 Results on Mar 11, 2022

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought HK$6.3m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.38 per share

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought HK$2.0m worth of stock

AIA Plans to Acquire 24.99% Stake in China Post Life Insurance

AIA Group Limited Approves Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2019

Upcoming dividend of HK$1.00 per share

AIA Group Limited Appoints Cesar Velasquez Purisima as Member of the Audit Committee

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS US$0.48 (vs US$0.50 in FY 2019)

AIA Group Limited Recommends Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2020, Payable on 10 June 2021

AIA Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2021

AIA Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Mar 12, 2021

Westpac Reportedly Prepares to Kick Off A Formal Sale Process for Its Life Insurance Business

New 90-day high: HK$104

New 90-day high: HK$96.30

New 90-day high: HK$90.00

New 90-day high: HK$87.00

AIA Group Limited to Report Q3, 2020 Results on Nov 09, 2020

Upcoming Dividend of HK$0.35 Per Share

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought HK$2.9m worth of stock

New 90-day high - HK$78.55

First half earnings released

AIA Group Limited to Report First Half, 2020 Results on Aug 20, 2020

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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