Stock Analysis

AIA Group (HKG:1299) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To $0.4229

SEHK:1299
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The board of AIA Group Limited (HKG:1299) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of $0.4229 on the 26th of September, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. Even though the dividend went up, the yield is still quite low at only 2.3%.

View our latest analysis for AIA Group

AIA Group Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 237% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 27%. Healthy cash flows are always a positive sign, especially when they quite easily cover the dividend.

EPS is forecast to rise very quickly over the next 12 months. If recent patterns in the dividend continues, we would start to get a bit worried, with the payout ratio possibly reaching 239%.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1299 Historic Dividend August 28th 2023

AIA Group Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from $0.0476 total annually to $0.196. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15% a year over that time. So, dividends have been growing pretty quickly, and even more impressively, they haven't experienced any notable falls during this period.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. Earnings per share has been sinking by 19% over the last five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

Our Thoughts On AIA Group's Dividend

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The company has been bring in plenty of cash to cover the dividend, but we don't necessarily think that makes it a great dividend stock. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for AIA Group that investors should take into consideration. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.