Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Adicon Holdings Limited's (HKG:9860) 25% Share Price Surge

Those holding Adicon Holdings Limited (HKG:9860) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 26% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, Adicon Holdings may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.3x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Adicon Holdings hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Adicon Holdings

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Adicon Holdings.

How Is Adicon Holdings' Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Adicon Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 67% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 34% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 32% per annum as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 16% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Adicon Holdings is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Adicon Holdings' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Adicon Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Adicon Holdings.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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